Luck will always be an intrinsic part of sport and especially in the world of baseball. Last night Reid Detmers of the Los Angeles Angels threw a no-hitter, which is a remarkable achievement no matter the circumstances. What was truly
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Author: Russell Eassom
Pitching Analysis: Expected Value, Stuff and Control
In modern baseball, there are many ways to try to analyse a pitcher’s performance. They all have their uses, and they all are helpful when used in the right context. So, why not add some more to the works. Today,
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All doubles are equal, but some are more equal than others
There was a lot of furore about a couple of bizarre plays in this postseason, the one which probably drew the most ire and, therefore the most tweets, was the Kevin Kiermaier’s “rule double” off the hip of Hunter Renfroe.
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If the Yankees are not evil anymore, what’s next?
I’ve partially watched and followed baseball since the early 2000s but it wasn’t until 2013 that I started watching MLB in earnest. Despite all that, I have known for decades that the Yankees were the dominant team of MLB. It
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Yadier Molina is so good, he impacts games he isn’t playing in
Yadier Molina recently passed 2,000 games as a catcher which is a phenomenal milestone. He becomes only the sixth player to do this in MLB and was the first to do with just one team. He is a generational talent
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Should Austin Jackson’s home run robbery have stood?
Many of you will already know which play I am describing; some may have seen it live and for others they may know it thanks to the ever-delightful replay videos that MLB.tv have shown us in the past. But here
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The Unofficial MLB Player Championship
There are many ways to determine who is the best player in a sport right now, especially baseball, but most are fraught with debate on which methods and stats are better. There are a few major sports however which generally
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Can we Bake in some more Luck?
In the companion piece to this, I went through how I created a couple of metrics to show the cluster luck that can happen in a game. And armed with the Expected Runs (xRuns) and Run Luck (RL) we could
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Wait, Did we just get really lucky?
To me, one of the amazing things about baseball is that a team can get ten men on-base and, one day they could score zero runs and another day they could score all 10. Also, a team can score 20
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How do we solve the ‘Plawecki-Mikolas-Flaherty Problem’?
I expect everyone who reads this article has no idea what the Plawecki-Mikolas-Flaherty Problem is and that is probably how it should be. It is a niche scoring/stats problem that I have created, and it is all down to how
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