Baseball… with a British twist

The Capitalist Quest for Socialism: Why MLB Owners Want a CBA Coated in a Salary Cap

And so, here we go again. With fewer than 140 days until the current Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) runs out, we look absolutely nailed-on for a self-inflicted doomsday scenario: a lockout that threatens to derail a sport currently enjoying a hard-won surge in global popularity.

To understand how baseball managed to drag itself into this ugliest of standoffs, you have to look past the carefully staged press conferences and call out the sheer, unadulterated hypocrisy at play.

CBA: The Capitalist Quest for Socialism

There is a profound, almost beautiful irony in the league’s primary economic goal right now. What we are actually witnessing is a collection of billionaire franchise owners – men who made their staggering fortunes through the brutal, dog-eat-dog world of free-market capitalism – suddenly begging for a state-managed economy.

The league is absolutely dead set on forcing a hard salary cap system into the game. They want a rigid 50-50 revenue split, a $245.3 million team spending limit, a $171.2 million floor, and completely unprecedented restrictions on individual contracts that would cap free-agent deals at just five years.

The rhetoric they’re using to justify this is built entirely around “competitive balance.” Commissioner Rob Manfred has basically lived on the airwaves lately, claiming he is merely “listening to the fans” and arguing that the massive payroll gap between the game’s highest and lowest spenders is ruining the integrity of the sport.

Honestly, any fan who genuinely thinks their team’s current stingy owners will miraculously turn them into contenders just because of a cap and floor is falling for the same logic as thinking 20-somethings can’t buy a house because of refugees crossing the Channel. It’s total misdirection.

Let’s be entirely clear about who Manfred actually answers to. The Commissioner isn’t some independent custodian of the game, nor is he a representative for you and me. He is an employee of thirty billionaire owners. His mandate isn’t to ensure small-market teams win more baseball games; his job is to protect the owners’ profit margins, suppress labour costs, and inflate franchise values. Handily enough, fixing your labour costs is the quickest way on earth to maximise the eventual sale price of a sports team.

And let’s be honest – if the 41-57 Mets are forced to slash $100 million from their payroll, they will not be more competitive… unless they are relegated to Triple-A.

CBA: Fabricating a Crisis

The league’s whole “competitive balance” narrative completely falls apart the second you give it a proper look. If we deliberately take the Los Angeles Dodgers and their wacky, uniquely structured payroll out of the equation, is there actually a systemic crisis in baseball?

The data says absolutely not. Major League Baseball seldom sees repeat World Series champions. In fact, we haven’t had back-to-back winners this century. More importantly, just look at the standings. As the second half of the season heats up, the heavily funded New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays – two of the top four payroll teams in the sport – find themselves trailing the Miami Marlins, Cleveland Guardians, and Chicago White Sox.

Lest we forget, those three clubs represent the absolute lowest payrolls in the entire sport. Right now, half of the projected playoff field consists of teams operating on bottom-third budgets. The Tampa Bay Rays, who currently hold the best record in the American League, are doing it all on a modest $100 million payroll.

The Players Association (MLBPA) is spot on in its assessment: competitive balance in baseball is no mirage, and every single ownership group in the league can bloody well afford to compete. The immense payroll chasm exists because certain billionaire owners are actively choosing not to invest in their own product, using the lack of a cap as a convenient excuse for artificial austerity. They are playing us for mugs. Well, they’re playing you for mugs; I can see right through it.

CBA: A Dangerous Game of Chicken

To deliberately trigger a work stoppage at this exact moment feels like a huge mistake. Baseball is booming. Attendance is tracking toward a fourth consecutive year of growth. The pitch clock – much as it pains an old traditionalist like me to admit it – has successfully dragged the pace of play into the modern era, and fan engagement is at a post-steroid-era high.

The league appears to think fans will just sit tight and wait out a lockout, but the modern sports entertainment landscape is vastly different from the last major strike in 1994. If MLB decides to shoot itself in the foot and cancel games next spring, sports fans have an absolute smorgasbord of high-quality alternatives. With the frictionless nature of modern streaming, a casual baseball fan forced away in March might very well realise by May that they didn’t actually miss it.

In fact, I wonder if we’re heading that way already. Several of my own diehard baseball buddies – the type who usually live and breathe every single pitch – have admitted to feeling completely jaded and uninvested in the game this season. If you’re losing lifers before the first lock is even on the gate, you’re probably in trouble. 

CBA: The Realistic Endgame

Despite the seemingly righteousness of the players’ pro-labour stance, history and cold financial reality tell us exactly how this script ends. Both sides will spend the winter arguing in the court of public opinion, and then Spring Training will get disrupted.

We’ll likely lose a few weeks, perhaps an entire month of the 2027 regular season. That loss of games will be the catalyst for a compromise – but when the MLBPA eventually accepts that the billionaires hold all the cards, that compromise is going to look a lot like a capitulation.

One, two, or three months of lost revenue is an easily-absorbed rounding error inside a massive private equity portfolio. But the players can’t wait indefinitely. An elite athletic prime is incredibly brief; the window in which a baseball player can maximise their career earnings seems to start shutting the moment it cracks open. They can ill afford to watch precious months of their peak years tick away while owners sit comfortably in luxury boxes, waiting for the union’s solidarity to crack under financial pressure.

The cap, in some engineered variation, will eventually get forced through, because capital can always afford to wait longer than labour.

But look, if the league is genuinely committed to the principle that a hard financial cap is the only mechanism capable of preserving the soul and equity of the sport, then that logic has to cut both ways. If we are going to cap the wages of the working talent on the field in the name of fairness, then it’s only right we cap the top, too.

If a salary cap is coming for the players, then perhaps it’s time to implement a strict cap on the price at which an MLB franchise can be sold. Let’s call it a flat $1 billion. After all, we must protect the integrity of the game.

Feature image of Rob Manfred by Mary DeCicco/MLB Photos via Getty Images

If you want to read more from Bat Flips & Nerds, check out GB Women: The Hollywood Blockbuster That’s Still Being Written


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